beat the marketer sample

where bill shares his marketing plan

GrainTracker Marketing

Decisions, decisions, decisions! While there are some that have always relied on 'a hunch' or 'a spur of the moment feeling" most would like to have some other perspectives take part in the decision making. The logic behind our approach combines the use of a non-emotional indicator, historical seasonal tendencies, insight to what is currently driving the market and the underlying fundamentals to decide when and how much to sell.

Beat the Marketer is where you can compare your sales to mine. Until all sales are made it is hard to know if you are ahead or behind but at least this gives you some insight as to where I am at the time. There will be no fancy end of the year averaging or mystery of where the advisor is on sales. Here it is, front and center for you to see in real time. This is included in the price of the Ramblings Newsletter subscription:

Assumptions:

  1. I want to forward sell 50% of each of my crops before harvest.
  2. Crop Insurance Coverage is at 80%
  3. On farm storage for 100% of APH; will roll all December Sales to July.
2013 Crop Year- Goal is to be 50% sold before harvest
Commodity Date % Sold Price Month Total % Sold Average Price
Corn-2013 7/30/12
8/3/12
8/8/12
8/21/12
1/17/13
5
5
5
5
5
6.35
6.40
6.45
6.55
5.89
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
25% $6.33
Beans-2013 8/16/12 8/21/12
9/4/12
1/22/13
2/5/13
5
5
5
5
5
12.85
13.15
13.65
13.10
13.40
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
25% $13.23

 

2012 Crop Year
Commodity Date % Sold Price Month Total % Sold Average Price
Corn-2012 7/15/12
8/18/12
1/5/12
3/1/12
3/22/12
5/22/12
6/26/12
7/2/12
Drought Adj
1/17/13
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
20
10
6.30
6.40
5.84
5.65
5.55
5.25
6.18
6.55
5.97
7.28
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
---
Mar
70% $6.15
Beans-2012 1/5/12
2/6/12
2/27/12
3/15/12
3/29/12
4/3/12
4/27/12
5/1/12
Drought Adj
1/22/13
2/5/13
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
10
10
10
12.11
12.45
12.78
13.25
13.00
13.95
13.65
13.90
13.14
14.50
14.87
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
---
Mar
Mar
70% $13.58

 

Call 815-541-6868 for a free 4 week trial.
CONTACT US with your questions.
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